Algeria national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 9pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Bolivia national football team

Algeria
3 - 2
Bolivia

Gouiri (43'), Benzia (79'), Mandi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Algaranaz (47'), Sagredo (70')
Cuellar (57'), Jusino (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Algeria and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Algeria
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Bolivia

All competitions
Last Game: Uruguay 3-0 Bolivia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 91.21%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 1.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.62%) and 4-0 (13.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.52%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
AlgeriaDrawBolivia
91.21% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)7.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)1.62% (0.0090999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 22.83% (0.032 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)35.03% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)57.02% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.37% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)4.63% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.14% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)18.86% (0.064 0.06)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
23.94% (0.038 0.04)76.06% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.13% (0.011 0.01)96.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 91.19%
    Bolivia 1.62%
    Draw 7.17%
AlgeriaDrawBolivia
3-0 @ 17.02% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 16.62% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 13.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 8.03% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.55% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 4.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 91.19%
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-1 @ 2.96% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 7.17%
0-1 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 1.62%

How you voted: Algeria vs Bolivia

Algeria
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Bolivia
0.0%
14
rhs 2.0
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