Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.74%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.