Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 20, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Mustapha Tchaker

Algeria
2 - 2
Burkina Faso

Bounedjah (51', 90+5')
Bensebaini (53'), Bounedjah (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Konate (45+3'), Traore (71' pen.)
Nagalo (17'), Sangare (23'), Konate (62'), Djiga (90+2'), Toure (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Algeria and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Angola
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	1	1	3
2	Angola	1	0	1
3	Algeria	1	0	1
4	Mauritania	1	-1	0

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, January 16 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	1	1	3
2	Angola	1	0	1
3	Algeria	1	0	1
4	Mauritania	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 11.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.74%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Burkina Faso
66.98% ( 0.18)	21.51% ( -0.15)	11.51% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 37.83% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.72% (

0.43)

56.28% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

0.34)

77.31% (

-0.35)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

0.2)

16.09% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51% (

0.38)

45.48% (

-0.38)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.09% (

0.19)

54.91% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.17% (

0.12)

87.82% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Algeria 66.98%

Burkina Faso 11.51%

Draw 21.51%

Algeria	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 16.14% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 14.74% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 66.98%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.51%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 11.51%