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Algeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Burkina Faso national football team

Algeria
2 - 2
Burkina Faso

Bounedjah (51', 90+5')
Bensebaini (53'), Bounedjah (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Konate (45+3'), Traore (71' pen.)
Nagalo (17'), Sangare (23'), Konate (62'), Djiga (90+2'), Toure (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Algeria and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Angola
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, January 16 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Algeria 2-1 Burkina Faso

Algeria should return to winning ways after a disappointing tournament opener to extend their undefeated run over Burkina Faso to four games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 11.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.74%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
AlgeriaDrawBurkina Faso
66.98% (0.17899999999999 0.18) 21.51% (-0.145 -0.15) 11.51% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 37.83% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (0.426 0.43)56.28% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.342 0.34)77.31% (-0.346 -0.35)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.205 0.2)16.09% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (0.377 0.38)45.48% (-0.381 -0.38)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.09% (0.191 0.19)54.91% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.17% (0.116 0.12)87.82% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 66.98%
    Burkina Faso 11.51%
    Draw 21.51%
AlgeriaDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 16.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 14.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.1% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 66.98%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 2.65% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 11.51%

How you voted: Algeria vs Burkina Faso

Algeria
76.2%
Draw
19.0%
Burkina Faso
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 4pm
Second Round
Algeria
2-2
Burkina Faso
Mahrez (21'), Feghouli (68')
Sanogo (37'), Dayo (84' pen.)
Sep 7, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Burkina Faso
1-1
Algeria
Tapsoba (64')
Tapsoba (15'), Sangare (75')
Feghouli (18')
Bensebaini (22')
rhs 2.0
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