World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Ethiopia
0 - 3
Burkina Faso

Yesuf (13'), Tilahun (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toure (69'), Traore (78' pen.), Ouattara (90')
Ouattara (71'), Ouedraogo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Burkina Faso

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a draw had a probability of 34.1%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 33.39% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 32.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a draw win was 0-0 with a probability of 18.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-1 (13.19%) and 2-2 (2.38%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (15.68%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (15.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Burkina Faso
32.53% ( -0.47)	34.08% ( 0.13)	33.39% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 32.72% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.21% (

-0.28)

75.78% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.28% (

-0.16)

90.72% (

0.16)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.88% (

-0.54)

43.12% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.61% (

-0.46)

79.39% (

0.45)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.53% (

0.08)

42.47% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.16% (

0.07)

78.84% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 32.53%

Burkina Faso 33.38%

Draw 34.08%

Ethiopia	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.4% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.53%	0-0 @ 18.31% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 34.08%	0-1 @ 15.68% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.38%