Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.