World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
We said: Congo DR 2-0 Mauritania
Mauritania have suffered defeat in each of their previous four games against Congo DR and are in for another tough 90 minutes against the home side. Desabre's men boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with the desired results.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.12%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.
| Result |
| Congo DR | Draw | Mauritania |
46.44% ( -0.34) | 30.81% ( 0.46) | 22.75% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 35.39% ( -1.02) |
| 29.32% ( -1.2) | 70.68% ( 1.2) |
| 12.33% ( -0.77) | 87.66% ( 0.76) |
| 68.88% ( -0.82) | 31.12% ( 0.81) |
