Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Mauritania
2 - 1
Gabon

Tanjy (30'), Kamara (42')
Hacen Houeibib (7'), Mouhsine (16'), Keita (35'), Ibnou Ba (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

N'Dong (90+1')
Ebane Abessolo (89'), Ibnou Ba (89'), N'Dong (90')
Amonome (5'), Ekomie (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Mauritania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Gabon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 0-2 Congo DR
Sunday, June 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Gabon
39.37% ( 0.12)	30.18% ( -0.01)	30.45% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 41% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.87% (

0.01)

66.13% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.33% (

84.67% (

-0.01)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2% (

0.08)

32.8% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

0.09)

69.36% (

-0.09)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.02% (

-0.08)

38.98% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.29% (

-0.07)

75.7% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 39.37%

Gabon 30.44%

Draw 30.17%

Mauritania	Draw	Gabon
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.37%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.17%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 30.44%