Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 16, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Bouake
  • Mohamed Konate 45' yellowcard
  • Blati Toure 47' yellowcard
  • Abdoul Tapsoba 76' yellowcard
  • Bertrand Traore 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Nouh Mohamed El Abd 90'+4'
  • yellowcard N. M. El Abd 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Aly Abeid 90'+9'

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Mauritania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.6%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.

Result

Burkina Faso 50.26% (-0.04)
Draw 28.55% (-0.01)
Mauritania 21.19% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.67% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.25% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 65.75% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 15.59% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 84.41% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 5.93% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 94.07% (-0.01)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 73.32% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.68% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.07%
Under 1.5 61.93% (+0.01)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 52.74% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 47.26% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 17.32% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 82.68% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Burkina Faso 50.25%
Draw 28.53%
Mauritania 21.19%
Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 16.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 50.25%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.6% (-0.02)
1-1 @ 12.48%
2-2 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 28.53%
Mauritania
0-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.68% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 21.19%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Pere-Jego
  • Issa Kabore 58' yellowcard
  • Pape Ibnou Ba 65' goal
  • Hemeya Tanjy 70' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Anne 78' yellowcard
  • goal 11'
  • goal Mohamed Konate 18'
  • yellowcard Ismahila Ouedraogo 42'
  • goal Stephane Aziz Ki 47'
International Friendlies
Dec 30, 2021 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT TBC