Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Jamaica
44.74% ( 0.35)	25.76%	29.5% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06% (

-0.17)

50.94% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

-0.15)

72.81% (

0.15)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

0.09)

22.71% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

0.14)

56.37% (

-0.14)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

-0.34)

31.54% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

-0.4)

67.94% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Mexico 44.73%

Jamaica 29.5%

Draw 25.76%

Mexico	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.5%