/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
-
Julian Quinones
73'
-
Julian Quinones
73'
-
Guillermo Martinez
90'+3'
-
Guillermo Martinez
90'+3'
-
Andreas Pereira
5'
-
Andreas Pereira
5'
-
Yan Couto
27'
-
Yan Couto
27'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
54'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
54'
-
Eder Militao
68'
-
Eder Militao
68'
-
Endrick
90'+6'
-
Endrick
90'+6'
-
Endrick
90'+8'
-
Endrick
90'+8'
Mexico vs Brazil - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F12%2Fendbra.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F49%2Fvinicius-junior_1.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
Result
Mexico
38.84%
▼
(-1.60)
Draw
26.96%
▲
(+0.29)
Brazil
34.2%
▲
(+1.32)
Both Teams to Score:
50.85%
▼
(-0.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.63%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 2.5
54.36%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 3.5
24.25%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 3.5
75.74%
▲
(+0.76)
Over 4.5
10.89%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 4.5
89.11%
▲
(+0.48)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
72.72%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 0.5
27.28%
▲
(+1.30)
Over 1.5
37.28%
▼
(-1.72)
Under 1.5
62.72%
▲
(+1.72)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5
69.93%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
30.07%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
33.79%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 1.5
66.2%
▼
(-0.50)
Score analysis
Mexico
38.83%
Draw
26.96%
Brazil
34.2%
Mexico
1-0
@
10.65%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.24)
3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 38.83%
2-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.24)
3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 38.83%
Draw
1-1
@
12.8%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.96%
0-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.96%
Brazil
0-1
@
9.86%
▲
(+0.45)
1-2 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.2%
1-2 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.2%