Friendlies 1

Jun 9, 2024 at 2am UK

Soldier Field

Mexico
2 - 3
Brazil

Quinones (73', 73' og.), Martinez (90+3', 90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pereira (5', 5'), Martinelli (54', 54'), Endrick (90+6', 90+6')
Couto (27'), Couto (27'), Militao (68'), Militao (68'), Endrick (90+8'), Endrick (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Saturday's international friendly with Mexico.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	0	0	0
2	Ecuador	0	0	0
3	Mexico	0	0	0
4	Jamaica	0	0	0

Brazil

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Brazil
38.84% ( -1.6)	26.96% ( 0.29)	34.2% ( 1.31)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.63% (

-0.89)

54.36% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

-0.75)

75.74% (

0.75)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

-1.3)

27.28% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

-1.71)

62.72% (

1.71)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

0.41)

30.07% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.79% (

0.49)

66.2% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Mexico 38.83%

Brazil 34.2%

Draw 26.96%

Mexico	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.83%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.2%