International Friendlies
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Darwin Nunez
7'
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Darwin Nunez
7'
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Facundo Pellistri
26'
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Facundo Pellistri
26'
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Darwin Nunez
44'
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Darwin Nunez
44'
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Darwin Nunez
49'
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Darwin Nunez
49'
Mexico vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result
Mexico
46.98%
▲
(+0.56)
Draw
26.75%
▼
(-0.23)
Uruguay
26.28%
▼
(-0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
47.81%
▲
(+0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.49%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 2.5
56.52%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 3.5
22.5%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 3.5
77.51%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 4.5
9.81%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 4.5
90.19%
▼
(-0.30)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
75.94%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 0.5
24.06%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 1.5
41.66%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 1.5
58.34%
▼
(-0.77)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
62.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
37.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
26.17%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
73.84%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Mexico
46.97%
Draw
26.75%
Uruguay
26.28%
Mexico
1-0
@
12.69%
▼
(-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.97%
2-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.97%
Draw
1-1
@
12.61%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.75%
0-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.75%
Uruguay
0-1
@
8.85%
▼
(-0.20)
1-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.28%
1-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.28%
