Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Uruguay
30%	27.42%	42.58% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.83%

57.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.97%

78.03% (

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57%

34.43% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86%

71.14% (

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24% (

61.76%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 30%

Uruguay 42.58%

Draw 27.41%

Costa Rica	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.24% Total : 30%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 12.12% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.58%