International Friendlies
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fhonlog.png)
-
Jeremy Sarmiento
8'
-
Kendry Paez
57'
-
Carlos Gruezo
84'
-
Piero Hincapie
89'
-
Bryan Rochez
29'
-
Jorge Alvarez
62'
-
Francisco Enrique Martinez
68'
Ecuador vs Honduras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F24%2Falan-minda-gonzalo-montiel.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
Result
Ecuador
43.86%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
26.33%
▲
(+0.10)
Honduras
29.81%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
51.32%
▼
(-0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.93%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 2.5
53.08%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 3.5
25.34%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
74.66%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
11.58%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
88.42%
▲
(+0.25)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
75.95%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
24.05%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
41.67%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
58.33%
▲
(+0.22)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5
67.58%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
32.42%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
31.06%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
68.94%
▲
(+0.43)
Score analysis
Ecuador
43.86%
Draw
26.32%
Honduras
29.81%
Ecuador
1-0
@
11.11%
▲
(+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.86%
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.86%
Draw
1-1
@
12.51%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.32%
0-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.32%
Honduras
0-1
@
8.78%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.81%
1-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.81%