El Salvador national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 27, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Cuscatlan
Honduras national football team

El Salvador
1 - 1
Honduras

Gil (11', 11')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rochez (62', 62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between El Salvador and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 El Salvador
Saturday, March 23 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-1 Honduras
Saturday, March 23 at 11.15pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawHonduras
52.72% (0.085000000000001 0.09)25.09% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)22.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.48% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (0.205 0.2)53.58% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (0.172 0.17)75.09% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (0.11500000000001 0.12)20.32% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (0.186 0.19)52.7% (-0.188 -0.19)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)39.15% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (0.085000000000001 0.09)75.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 52.71%
    Honduras 22.19%
    Draw 25.09%
El SalvadorDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 52.71%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Honduras

El Salvador
56.0%
Draw
12.0%
Honduras
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 3am
Friendlies 1
El Salvador
0-1
Honduras
Cartagena (34' og.)
Sep 24, 2022 1am
International Friendly
Honduras
P-P
El Salvador
Jan 31, 2022 12.05am
Sep 6, 2021 12am
Third Round
El Salvador
0-0
Honduras
Zavaleta (22'), Arnulfo Baires Hernandez (90+7'), Dominguez (90+10')
Garcia (16')
Jun 26, 2019 3am
Group Stage
Honduras
4-0
El Salvador
Alvarez (59'), Castillo (66'), Acosta (75'), Izaguirre (90')
Figueroa (72')

Tamacas (94')