Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.