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World Cup

Bermuda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 10, 2024 at 12am UK
Bermuda National Stadium
Honduras national football team

Bermuda
1 - 6
Honduras

Lewis (45+4' pen., 45+4' pen.)
Lee (90'), Lee (90')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Arriaga (14', 14'), Ruiz (49', 49'), Rodriguez (53', 53'), Vega (56', 56'), Najar (62', 62'), Rochez (90+1', 90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Bermuda and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Antigua 1-1 Bermuda
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Honduras

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Honduras 3-1 Cuba
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
BermudaDrawHonduras
49.53% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)25.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03)24.69% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)53.93% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)75.38% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)21.8% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)55% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bermuda 49.53%
    Honduras 24.69%
    Draw 25.76%
BermudaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Bermuda vs Honduras

Bermuda
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Honduras
66.7%
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