Bermuda national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 17, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Bermuda National Stadium
Belize national football team

Bermuda
1 - 1
Belize

Crichlow (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reneau (75' pen.)
Avila (26')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bermuda and Belize.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 0-1 Bermuda
Saturday, October 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Belize

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 0-1 Bermuda
Saturday, October 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Belize had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest Belize win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
BermudaDrawBelize
41.08% (-0.128 -0.13)28.91% (-0.208 -0.21)30.01% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 44.07% (0.672 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7% (0.765 0.77)62.3% (-0.766 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.04% (0.557 0.56)81.96% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.30499999999999 0.3)29.83% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.369 0.37)65.91% (-0.37 -0.37)
Belize Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (0.684 0.68)37.19% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03% (0.672 0.67)73.97% (-0.673 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Bermuda 41.07%
    Belize 30%
    Draw 28.9%
BermudaDrawBelize
1-0 @ 13.41% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.09% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-2 @ 3.97% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.9%
0-1 @ 10.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 30%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3am
League B
Belize
0-1
Bermuda

Bernardez (73')
Crichlow (18')
Robinson (45'), Martin (73'), Eve (75'), Leverock (87')