Saint Vincent and the Grenadines national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 12, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Arnos Vale Ground
Bermuda national football team

St Vincent & Gr.
4 - 3
Bermuda

Anderson (40', 42', 45+2'), Sutherland (63')
Anderson (43'), Browne (60'), Sutherland (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Bean (21'), Coddington (69'), Simmons (74')
Leverock (26'), Cook (27')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Vincent & the Grenadines and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 1-2 St Vincent & Gr.
Friday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 0-0 French Guiana
Friday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Saint Vincent & the GrenadinesDrawBermuda
34.73% (-0.565 -0.56)24.49% (0.035 0.04)40.78% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.264 -0.26)43.51% (0.262 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.261 -0.26)65.91% (0.258 0.26)
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-0.441 -0.44)24.53% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (-0.622 -0.62)59% (0.619 0.62)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.136 0.14)21.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.212 0.21)54.39% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 34.73%
    Bermuda 40.78%
    Draw 24.48%
Saint Vincent & the GrenadinesDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.78%