Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 11.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.