Belize national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2023 at 3am UK
FFB Field
Bermuda national football team

Belize
0 - 1
Bermuda


Bernardez (73'), Bernardez (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Crichlow (18', 18')
Robinson (45'), Robinson (45'), Martin (73'), Martin (73'), Eve (75'), Eve (75'), Leverock (87'), Leverock (87')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Belize and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belize

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: French Guiana 0-2 Belize
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 4-3 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Belize had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Belize win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.

Result
BelizeDrawBermuda
31.08% (-0.325 -0.32)23.61% (0.029 0.03)45.31% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 61.11% (-0.27 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.285 -0.29)40.58% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)62.96% (0.294 0.29)
Belize Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)25.28% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)60.05% (0.47 0.47)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)18.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.012999999999998 0.01)49.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Belize 31.08%
    Bermuda 45.31%
    Draw 23.6%
BelizeDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.33% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.08%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.22% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.79% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.31%