International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2024 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Morlaye Sylla 11' goal
  • Ibrahima Aminata Conde 31' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Conde 43' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 47' goal
  • 50' yellowcard
  • Kandet Diawara 52' goal
  • Jules Keita 61' goal
  • Mamadou Kane 70' goal
  • goal Dante Leverock 15'
  • yellowcard Kole Hall 43'
  • redcard 45'+3'

Guinea vs Bermuda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 21, 2024 7.00pm
Guinea 6 - 0 Vanuatu

Bermuda

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 22, 2024 7.00pm
Bermuda 2 - 0 Brunei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 9.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Bermuda win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result

Guinea 73.59% (-0.03)
Draw 16.94% (+0.02)
Bermuda 9.47% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.24% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.7% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 34.31% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.69% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.75% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.25% (+0.01)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 89.75% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 10.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 66.4% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 33.6% (+0.02)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5 49.29% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 50.71% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 14.85% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 85.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Guinea 73.57%
Draw 16.94%
Bermuda 9.47%
Guinea
2-0 @ 13.48%
1-0 @ 11.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.23% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34%
6-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 73.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 16.94%
Bermuda
0-1 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 9.47%