Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Yamoussoukro
  • Ibrahim Diakite 19' yellowcard
  • Aguibou Camara 69' goal
  • Julian Jeanvier 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Musa Barrow 10'
  • yellowcard Ali Sowe 89'

Guinea vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 15, 2024 5.00pm
Cameroon 1 - 1 Guinea

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 15, 2024 2.00pm
Senegal 3 - 0 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.16%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result

Guinea 52.66% (+0.54)
Draw 28.92% (-0.25)
Gambia 18.41% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.73% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 31.09% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 68.91% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 13.47% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 86.53% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 4.86% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 95.14% (-0.12)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 72.97% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 27.03% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 37.6% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-0.57)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 47.59% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 52.41% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 13.73% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 86.27% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Guinea 52.66%
Draw 28.91%
Gambia 18.41%
Guinea
1-0 @ 18.53% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.12% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.83% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.29% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.73% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 52.66%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.16% (-0.20)
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 28.91%
Gambia
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 18.41%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 24, 2022 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ibrahima Conte 81' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Conte 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Yusupha Bobb 27'
  • goal Musa Barrow 71'
  • yellowcard Yusupha Njie 74'
  • redcard Yusupha Njie 87'
International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2020 11.00pm
Estádio Municipal de Albufeira