International Friendlies
Jan 8, 2024 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium
  • Aguibou Camara 15' goal
  • Facinet Conte 65' goal

Guinea vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Nigeria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result

Guinea 39.76% (-0.03)
Draw 29.18% (-0.01)
Nigeria 31.06% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.71% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.07% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 62.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.58% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 82.42% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 6.99% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 93.01% (-0.02)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 69.08% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.21% (-0.01)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 63.27% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 36.73% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 26.48% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.52% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Guinea 39.76%
Draw 29.18%
Nigeria 31.05%
Guinea
1-0 @ 13.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 39.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 11.35% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.18%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 11.37%
1-2 @ 6.69% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 31.05%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jun 26, 2019 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
  • Ahmed Musa 62' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Omeruo 73' goal
  • Oghenekaro Etebo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Falette 27'
  • yellowcard Ernest Seka 65'