World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 21, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Francistown Stadium
  • Mogakolodi Ngele 22' yellowcard
  • Gape Mohutsiwa 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Kabelo Seakanyeng 79' goal
  • Kabelo Seakanyeng 80' yellowcard
  • Alford Velaphi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Diawara 45'+2'

Botswana vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 1.00pm
Botswana 2 - 3 Mozambique

Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 1.00pm
Guinea 2 - 1 Uganda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.7%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result

Botswana 44.94% (-0.20)
Draw 30.17% (+0.07)
Guinea 24.89% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.29% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 32% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 68% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 14.07% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 85.94% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 5.15% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 94.85% (+0.04)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 69.46% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 30.54% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 33.23% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 66.77% (+0.19)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 55.14% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 44.86% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 19.18% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.82% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Botswana 44.94%
Draw 30.16%
Guinea 24.89%
Botswana
1-0 @ 16.25% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.94%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.7% (+0.05)
1-1 @ 13.02% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 30.16%
Guinea
0-1 @ 10.98% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.4% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.89%