World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Botswana national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Guinea national football team

Botswana
1 - 0
Guinea

Seakanyeng (79')
Ngele (22'), Mohutsiwa (45+3'), Seakanyeng (80'), Velaphi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diawara (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Botswana and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Mozambique
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 2-1 Uganda
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.7%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawGuinea
44.94% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)30.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.89% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 38.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)68% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.07% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)85.94% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-0.158 -0.16)30.54% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.188 -0.19)66.77% (0.19 0.19)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (0.073 0.07)44.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (0.056999999999999 0.06)80.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 44.94%
    Guinea 24.89%
    Draw 30.16%
BotswanaDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 16.25% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 44.94%
0-0 @ 13.7% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 30.16%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Botswana vs Guinea

Botswana
35.9%
Draw
7.7%
Guinea
56.4%
39