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World Cup

Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Uganda national football team

Guinea
2 - 1
Uganda

Camara (10'), Cisse (90+4')
Guilavogui (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bayo (30')
Kayondo (37'), Byaruhanga (45'), B. (45'), Awany (60'), Dennis Awany (60'), Sentamu (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Guinea and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 1-1 Gabon
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Uganda

All competitions
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guinea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
GuineaDrawUganda
53.52% (-0.604 -0.6)30.78% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)15.7% (0.659 0.66)
Both teams to score 28.14% (0.936 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.87% (0.603 0.6)75.13% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.65% (0.344 0.34)90.34% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)29.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.09% (1.316 1.32)59.9% (-1.314 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.4% (0.661 0.66)90.6% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 53.51%
    Uganda 15.7%
    Draw 30.77%
GuineaDrawUganda
1-0 @ 21.61% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-0 @ 13.07% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.51%
0-0 @ 17.86% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 1.72% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 30.77%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 2.84% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.7%

How you voted: Guinea vs Uganda

Guinea
61.3%
Draw
22.6%
Uganda
16.1%
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