World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Guinea
2 - 1
Uganda

Camara (10'), Cisse (90+4')
Guilavogui (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bayo (30')
Kayondo (37'), Byaruhanga (45'), B. (45'), Awany (60'), Dennis Awany (60'), Sentamu (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Guinea and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 1-1 Gabon
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

Uganda

All competitions

Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guinea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Uganda
53.52% ( -0.6)	30.78% ( -0.05)	15.7% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 28.14% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.87% (

0.6)

75.13% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.65% (

0.34)

90.34% (

-0.34)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

0.03)

29.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1% (

0.04)

65.9% (

-0.04)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.09% (

1.32)

59.9% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.4% (

0.66)

90.6% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Guinea 53.51%

Uganda 15.7%

Draw 30.77%

Guinea	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 21.61% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.51%	0-0 @ 17.86% ( -0.41) 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 30.77%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.7%