MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 13:23:07| >> :60:547:547:
Guinea national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
Gabon national football team

Guinea
1 - 1
Gabon

Guirassy (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boupendza (62' pen.)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Guinea and Gabon.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Gabon
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.02%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
GuineaDrawGabon
50.12% (0.122 0.12) 28.83% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 21.05% (-0.052000000000003 -0.05)
Both teams to score 37.92% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.38% (0.152 0.15)66.62% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.99% (0.103 0.1)85.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (0.133 0.13)27.16% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (0.172 0.17)62.56% (-0.174 -0.17)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)47.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)83.19% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 50.12%
    Gabon 21.05%
    Draw 28.82%
GuineaDrawGabon
1-0 @ 16.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 50.12%
0-0 @ 13.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Guinea vs Gabon

Guinea
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Gabon
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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