Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.02%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.