Friendlies 3

Oct 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Do Algarve

Guinea
1 - 1
Gabon

Guirassy (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boupendza (62' pen.)

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Guinea and Gabon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

Gabon

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Gabon
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.02%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Gabon
50.12% ( 0.12)	28.83% ( -0.07)	21.05% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 37.92% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.38% (

0.15)

66.62% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.99% (

0.1)

85.01% (

-0.1)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84% (

0.13)

27.16% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.44% (

0.17)

62.56% (

-0.17)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.06% (

0.03)

47.94% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.81% (

0.02)

83.19% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Guinea 50.12%

Gabon 21.05%

Draw 28.82%

Guinea	Draw	Gabon
1-0 @ 16.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 50.12%	0-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.82%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.05%