Zambia vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.