World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Huye

Zimbabwe
1 - 1
Nigeria

Musona (26')
Dube (46'), Nakamba (56'), Dube (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Iheanacho (67')
Bassey (45'), Collins (87'), Sadiq (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zimbabwe and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Zimbabwe
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Nigeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 9.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.84%) and 0-3 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Zimbabwe	Draw	Nigeria
9.29% ( -0.25)	16.78% ( -0.21)	73.93% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 44% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.82% (

0.18)

43.18% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.42% (

0.18)

65.58% (

-0.18)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.96% (

-0.4)

51.04% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.63% (

-0.27)

85.37% (

0.27)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.86% (

0.16)

10.14% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.66% (

0.38)

33.34% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Zimbabwe 9.29%

Nigeria 73.92%

Draw 16.78%

Zimbabwe	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 9.29%	1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.78%	0-2 @ 13.55% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 10.34% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 5.92% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 73.92%