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World Cup

Rwanda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade Huye
Zimbabwe national football team

Rwanda
0 - 0
Zimbabwe


Manzi (90+1')
FT

Mbeba (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Rwanda and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Rwanda
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Zimbabwe

All competitions
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Zimbabwe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawZimbabwe
38.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)30.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.39% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.81% (-0.012 -0.01)66.19% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)84.71% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)33.46% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)70.1% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (0.010999999999996 0.01)38.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (0.012 0.01)75.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 38.35%
    Zimbabwe 31.39%
    Draw 30.25%
RwandaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 14.02%
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.25%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 31.39%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe

Rwanda
32.9%
Draw
17.1%
Zimbabwe
50.0%
82