Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.