Senegal vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.12%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.02%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.