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World Cup

Senegal national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
South Sudan national football team

Senegal
4 - 0
South Sudan

Sarr (1'), Mane (6', 56' pen.), Camara (45')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mawith (29'), Maker (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Senegal and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Cameroon
Monday, October 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

South Sudan

Last Game: Kenya 0-1 South Sudan
Tuesday, September 12 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.73%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawSouth Sudan
73.85% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)18.11% (0.010000000000002 0.01)8.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 34.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)52.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (-0.012 -0.01)12.76% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.96% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)39.04% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.1% (0.011000000000003 0.01)59.9% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.4% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)90.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 73.83%
    South Sudan 8.04%
    Draw 18.11%
SenegalDrawSouth Sudan
2-0 @ 16.19% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 15.73%
3-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 73.83%
1-1 @ 8.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 2.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.11%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 8.04%

How you voted: Senegal vs South Sudan

Senegal
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
South Sudan
0.0%
14