Senegal national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Niger national football team

Senegal
1 - 0
Niger

Mendy (90+9')
Ciss (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moussa (29'), Goumey (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Senegal and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
Last Game: Togo 0-0 Senegal
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Niger

All competitions
Last Game: Niger 2-1 Zambia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Niger had a probability of 6.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.21%) and 3-0 (12.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.5%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawNiger
77.77% (-0.813 -0.81)16.22% (0.503 0.5)6.01% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 30.82% (0.29 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91% (-0.785 -0.78)52.09% (0.787 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (-0.682 -0.68)73.81% (0.68400000000001 0.68)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.49% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)11.51% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61% (-0.96099999999999 -0.96)36.39% (0.962 0.96)
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.82% (0.5 0.5)65.17% (-0.499 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.92% (0.2141 0.21)93.08% (-0.212 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 77.76%
    Niger 6.01%
    Draw 16.22%
SenegalDrawNiger
2-0 @ 17.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 16.21% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 12.63% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.101 0.1)
4-0 @ 6.83% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.95% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 77.76%
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.232 0.23)
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.215 0.22)
2-2 @ 1.61% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.22%
0-1 @ 3.21% (0.155 0.16)
1-2 @ 1.49% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 6.01%

How you voted: Senegal vs Niger

Senegal
76.0%
Draw
8.0%
Niger
16.0%
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