Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Niger had a probability of 6.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.21%) and 3-0 (12.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.5%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.