Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Togo had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.