World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 21, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Kegue
  • Alaixys Romao 29' yellowcard
  • Djene Dakonam 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 68'
  • yellowcard Ismail Jakobs 72'

Togo vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 4.00pm
Sudan 1 - 1 Togo

Senegal

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 7.00pm
Senegal 4 - 0 South Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Togo had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Togo 34.7% (-0.04)
Draw 28.15% (+0.21)
Senegal 37.15% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.29% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.14% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 58.86% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 20.64% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 79.36% (+0.58)
Over 4.5 8.71% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 91.29% (+0.35)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5 68% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 32% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 31.53% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 68.47% (+0.47)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 69.55% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 30.45% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 33.34% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 66.66% (+0.56)

Score analysis

Togo 34.7%
Draw 28.15%
Senegal 37.14%
Togo
1-0 @ 11.1% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.33% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 9.75% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.15%
Senegal
0-1 @ 11.58% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.14%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 11, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alaixys Romao 39' yellowcard
  • Pape Abou Cisse 45'+1' goal
  • Klousseh Agbozo 56' yellowcard
  • Wassiou Ouro-Gneni 88' yellowcard
  • Paulo Duarte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Habib Diallo 90'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 1, 2021 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sadio Mane 56' goal
  • Saliou Ciss 66' yellowcard
  • Abdou Diallo 81' goal
  • yellowcard Kangnivi Ama Tchoutchoui 77'