Senegal national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 14, 2023 at 1am UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Mali national football team

Senegal
C-C
Mali

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Senegal and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 0-1 Algeria
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Mali

All competitions
Last Game: Mali 4-0 South Sudan
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mali vs. Uganda
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Mali has a probability of 29.99% and a draw has a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest Mali win is 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).

Result
SenegalDrawMali
40.4% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)29.61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)29.99% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.27% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.48% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)64.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.44% (-0.032 -0.03)83.55% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)31.35% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)67.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)38.43% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.18% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 40.39%
    Mali 29.99%
    Draw 29.6%
SenegalDrawMali
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 12.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.6%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 29.99%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Senegal
2-1
Mali
Mane (87'), Konate (92')
Pape Diaw (41'), Abou Cisse (93')
Traore (72')
Traore (45')