Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Mali has a probability of 29.99% and a draw has a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest Mali win is 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).