International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2023 1.00am
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 8.00pm
Senegal 0 - 1 Algeria

Mali

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 0 - 0 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Mali has a probability of 29.99% and a draw has a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest Mali win is 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).

Result

Senegal 40.4% (-0.02)
Draw 29.61% (+0.01)
Mali 29.99% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.27% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.48% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 64.52% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 16.44% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 83.55% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 6.37% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 93.62% (+0.01)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 68.65% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.35% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.29% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.71% (+0.02)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 61.57% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.43% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.18% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Senegal 40.39%
Draw 29.6%
Mali 29.99%
Senegal
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 40.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 12.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.6%
Mali
0-1 @ 11.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 29.99%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2019 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Elhadji Pape Diaw 41' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 87' goal
  • Moussa Konate 92' goal
  • Pape Abou Cisse 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Traore 45'
  • goal Abdoulaye Traore 72'