Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2023 at 2pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania
1 - 0
Niger

Msuva (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tanzania and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tanzania 0-1 Uganda
Tuesday, March 28 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Niger

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 0-1 Algeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Niger had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.56%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.85%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tanzania in this match.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Niger
67.53% ( -0.68)	21.83% ( 0.34)	10.64% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 34.68% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.88% (

-0.41)

59.12% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44% (

-0.31)

79.56% (

0.31)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1% (

-0.37)

16.9% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.06% (

-0.67)

46.94% (

0.66)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.73% (

0.41)

58.27% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.26% (

0.22)

89.74% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Tanzania 67.52%

Niger 10.64%

Draw 21.83%

Tanzania	Draw	Niger
1-0 @ 17.5% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 15.56% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 67.52%	0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.64%