World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Niger
2 - 1
Zambia

Moutari (6'), Goumey (28')
Moumouni (37'), Massoudi (39'), Djibrilla (74'), Moutari (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Daka (50')
Sakala (55'), Sunzu (67'), Banda (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Niger and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 0-1 Tanzania
Saturday, November 18 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Zambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 4-2 Congo
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Niger had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Niger	Draw	Zambia
21.61% ( -0.16)	28.13% ( -0.02)	50.26% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 40.03% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.74% (

-0.04)

64.26% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.63% (

-0.03)

83.37% (

0.03)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.07% (

-0.19)

45.93% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.34% (

-0.15)

81.66% (

0.15)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

0.07)

25.98% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

0.09)

61% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Niger 21.61%

Zambia 50.25%

Draw 28.13%

Niger	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.61%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 16.08% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 50.25%