/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzamlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fconlog.png)
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Patson Daka
5'
-
Lameck Banda
43'
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Fashion Sakala
69'
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Patson Daka
90'+2'
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Silvere Ganvoula
13'
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Mons Bassouamina
15'
Zambia vs Congo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
Result
Zambia
50.39%
▲
(+0.71)
Draw
25.86%
▲
(+0.15)
Congo
23.75%
▼
(-0.86)
Both Teams to Score:
48.05%
▼
(-1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.96%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 2.5
55.04%
▲
(+1.24)
Over 3.5
23.69%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 3.5
76.31%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 4.5
10.54%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 4.5
89.46%
▲
(+0.65)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
78.11%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
21.89%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
44.86%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
55.14%
▲
(+0.31)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5
61.52%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 0.5
38.48%
▲
(+1.47)
Over 1.5
24.77%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 1.5
75.23%
▲
(+1.43)
Score analysis
Zambia
50.38%
Draw
25.86%
Congo
23.75%
Zambia
1-0
@
12.79%
▲
(+0.52)
2-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.38%
2-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.38%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.86%
0-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.86%
Congo
0-1
@
8.04%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.75%