World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK

Konkola Stadium

Zambia
4 - 2
Congo

Daka (5', 90+2'), Banda (43'), Sakala (69')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Ganvoula (13'), Bassouamina (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zambia and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Congo

All competitions

Last Game: Gambia 2-2 Congo
Sunday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Congo
50.39% ( 0.71)	25.86% ( 0.15)	23.75% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

-1.23)

55.04% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-1.02)

76.31% (

1.02)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

-0.2)

21.89% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

-0.31)

55.14% (

0.31)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.52% (

-1.46)

38.48% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.77% (

-1.42)

75.23% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Zambia 50.38%

Congo 23.75%

Draw 25.86%

Zambia	Draw	Congo
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.75%