Africa Cup of Nations
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Chancel Mbemba
27'
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Arthur Masuaku
37'
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Yoane Wissa
65'
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Arthur Masuaku
82'
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Mohamed Bayo
21'
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A. Diawara
64'
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Amadou Diawara
64'
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Facinet Conte
79'
Congo DR vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.69%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
Result
Congo DR
51.92%
Draw
28.83%
Guinea
19.25%
Both Teams to Score:
35.93%
Goals
Over 2.5
32.01%
Under 2.5
67.99%
Over 3.5
14.08%
Under 3.5
85.92%
Over 4.5
5.16%
Under 4.5
94.84%
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5
73.06%
Under 0.5
26.94%
Over 1.5
37.72%
Under 1.5
62.28%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
49.17%
Under 0.5
50.83%
Over 1.5
14.78%
Under 1.5
85.22%
Score analysis
Congo DR
51.91%
Draw
28.82%
Guinea
19.25%
Congo DR
1-0
@
17.95%
2-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 3.48%
4-0 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.18%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 51.91%
2-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 3.48%
4-0 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.18%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 51.91%
Draw
0-0
@
13.69%
1-1 @ 12.15%
2-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 12.15%
2-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 28.82%
Guinea
0-1
@
9.27%
1-2 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 19.25%