/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fguilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsenlog.png)
-
Facinet Conte
22'
-
Antoine Conte
45'+5'
-
Ismail Jakobs
45'+3'
-
Abdoulaye Seck
61'
-
Krepin Diatta
66'
-
Iliman Ndiaye
90'
Guinea vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F33%2Fabdou-diallo.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.8%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 30.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.8%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result
Guinea
38.8%
▼
(-0.47)
Draw
30.89%
▲
(+0.35)
Senegal
30.31%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
39.26%
▼
(-0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
31.81%
▼
(-0.95)
Under 2.5
68.2%
▲
(+0.96)
Over 3.5
13.94%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 3.5
86.06%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 4.5
5.09%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 4.5
94.91%
▲
(+0.32)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
65.74%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 0.5
34.26%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 1.5
29.04%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 1.5
70.96%
▲
(+0.88)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5
59.73%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 0.5
40.28%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 1.5
23.1%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 1.5
76.91%
▲
(+0.42)
Score analysis
Guinea
38.8%
Draw
30.89%
Senegal
30.3%
Guinea
1-0
@
14.78%
▲
(+0.20)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.8%
2-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.8%
Draw
0-0
@
13.8%
▲
(+0.49)
1-1 @ 13.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.89%
1-1 @ 13.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.89%
Senegal
0-1
@
12.54%
▲
(+0.28)
1-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.3%
1-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.3%