Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.