Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 19, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Yamoussoukro
  • Ismaila Sarr 16' goal
  • Abdou Diallo 58' yellowcard
  • Habib Diallo 71' goal
  • Sadio Mane 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Olivier Kemen 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jean-Charles Castelletto 48'
  • yellowcard Yvan Neyou 75'
  • goal Jean-Charles Castelletto 83'

Senegal vs Cameroon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 15, 2024 2.00pm
Senegal 3 - 0 Gambia

Cameroon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 15, 2024 5.00pm
Cameroon 1 - 1 Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result

Senegal 57.24% (+2.07)
Draw 26.1% (-0.59)
Cameroon 16.66% (-1.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.1% (-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.07% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 62.93% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 17.59% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 82.41% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 6.99% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 93.01% (-0.05)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 77.73% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 22.27% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 44.29% (+1.37)
Under 1.5 55.71% (-1.37)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5 49.01% (-1.84)
Under 0.5 50.99% (+1.84)
Over 1.5 14.67% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 85.33% (+1.27)

Score analysis

Senegal 57.23%
Draw 26.09%
Cameroon 16.66%
Senegal
1-0 @ 17.05% (+0.41)
2-0 @ 12.8% (+0.64)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.41% (+0.49)
3-1 @ 4.32% (+0.11)
4-0 @ 2.41% (+0.25)
4-1 @ 1.62% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 57.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.35)
0-0 @ 11.35% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 26.09%
Cameroon
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.45)
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.30)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 16.66%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 16, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
  • Sadio Mane 35' goal
  • Habib Diallo 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Mbeumo 25'
  • yellowcard Oumar Gonzalez 33'
  • yellowcard Vincent Aboubakar 45'+3'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 28, 2017 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mame Diouf 13' yellowcard
  • Cheikhou Kouyate 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ambroise Oyongo 25'
  • yellowcard Collins Fai 59'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Djoum 82'