Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.