Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Yoane Wissa 27' goal
  • Gedeon Kalulu 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kings Kangwa 23'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Banda 55'

Congo DR vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Zambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Congo DR 38.12% (+0.40)
Draw 28.26% (-0.08)
Zambia 33.61% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.83% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.64% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 59.36% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 20.25% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 79.75% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 8.48% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 91.52% (-0.11)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 30.11% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 33.74% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 66.25% (-0.43)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 67.01% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 32.99% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 30.42% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.58% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Congo DR 38.12%
Draw 28.26%
Zambia 33.61%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 11.92% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.16% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 38.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.93% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.26%
Zambia
0-1 @ 11.01% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.61%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 18, 2015 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Given Singuluma 2' goal
  • Stopilla Sunzu 31' yellowcard
  • Given Singuluma 68' yellowcard
  • Nathan Sinkala 82' yellowcard
  • goal Yannick Bolasie 66'