Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 28, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • Federico Bikoro 55' redcard
  • yellowcard Julian Jeanvier 41'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+8'

Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Guinea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Equatorial Guinea 38.56% (-1.01)
Draw 30.71% (+0.44)
Guinea 30.73% (+0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.8% (-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.39% (-1.14)
Under 2.5 67.61% (+1.14)
Over 3.5 14.32% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 85.68% (+0.77)
Over 4.5 5.28% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 94.72% (+0.39)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 65.9% (-1.23)
Under 0.5 34.1% (+1.23)
Over 1.5 29.21% (-1.35)
Under 1.5 70.79% (+1.35)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 60.39% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 39.61% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 23.71% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 76.29% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 38.56%
Draw 30.7%
Guinea 30.72%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 14.53% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.56%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.5% (+0.56)
1-1 @ 13.45% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.7%
Guinea
0-1 @ 12.5% (+0.44)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.79% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 30.72%