Africa Cup of Nations
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Victor Osimhen
38'
-
Zaidu Sanusi
65'
-
Federico Bikoro
26'
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Ivan Salvador
36'
-
Alex Balboa
85'
Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 5.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (12.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Nigeria
79.12%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
15.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Equatorial Guinea
5.76%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
32.44%
▼
(-0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.34%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
48.66%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
29.22%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 3.5
70.77%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 4.5
14.14%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 4.5
85.86%
▲
(+0.33)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
89.77%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
10.22%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
66.46%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
33.54%
▲
(+0.27)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
36.14%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
63.86%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
7.5%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
92.5%
▲
(+0.29)
Score analysis
Nigeria
79.11%
Draw
15.12%
Equatorial Guinea
5.76%
Nigeria
2-0
@
16.97%
▲
(+0.19)
1-0 @ 14.89% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 79.11%
1-0 @ 14.89% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 79.11%
Draw
1-1
@
6.68%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.12%
0-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.12%
Equatorial Guinea
0-1
@
2.93%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 5.76%
1-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 5.76%