Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Eq Guinea4 - 0Ivory Coast
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-2 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Ivory Coast
Despite the undoubted home support, Equatorial Guinea could nick a point against an Ivorian side that went down in many observers' estimation after a disappointing defeat to Nigeria. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Ivory Coast |
27.39% ( 1.69) | 29.65% ( 0.7) | 42.96% ( -2.4) |
Both teams to score 41.01% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.53% ( -1.34) | 65.47% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.78% ( -0.94) | 84.22% ( 0.94) |
Equatorial Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.88% ( 0.73) | 41.11% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.34% ( 0.64) | 77.66% ( -0.64) |
Ivory Coast Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( -1.97) | 30.35% ( 1.97) |