Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 22, 2024 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • Josete Miranda 12' yellowcard
  • Emilio Nsue 42' goal
  • Jesus Owono 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ganet 73' goal
  • Emilio Nsue 75' goal
  • Jannick Buyla 88' goal
  • Santiago Eneme 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Kouame 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Willy Boly 72'

Equatorial Guinea vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 18, 2024 2.00pm
Eq Guinea 4 - 2 Guinea-Bissau

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 18, 2024 5.00pm
Ivory Coast 0 - 1 Nigeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Equatorial Guinea 27.39% (+1.70)
Draw 29.65% (+0.71)
Ivory Coast 42.96% (-2.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.01% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.53% (-1.34)
Under 2.5 65.47% (+1.35)
Over 3.5 15.78% (-0.95)
Under 3.5 84.22% (+0.95)
Over 4.5 6.03% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 93.97% (+0.50)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 58.88% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 41.11% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 22.34% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 77.66% (-0.64)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% (-1.97)
Under 0.5 30.35% (+1.97)
Over 1.5 33.46% (-2.42)
Under 1.5 66.54% (+2.42)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 27.39%
Draw 29.64%
Ivory Coast 42.95%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 11.09% (+0.75)
2-1 @ 5.88% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 4.93% (+0.43)
3-1 @ 1.74% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.46% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 27.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 12.47% (+0.61)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.64%
Ivory Coast
0-1 @ 14.87% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.55)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.43)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.32)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.95%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 12, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luis Nlavo 67' yellowcard
  • goal Max Gradel 5'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 31'