Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.