Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 13, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • Seko Fofana 4' goal
  • Evan N'Dicka 29' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 58' goal
  • yellowcard Moreto Cassama 44'

Ivory Coast vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.

Result

Ivory Coast 70.48% (+1.66)
Draw 18.27% (-0.92)
Guinea-Bissau 11.25% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.34% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.89% (+2.09)
Under 2.5 44.11% (-2.09)
Over 3.5 33.51% (+2.01)
Under 3.5 66.49% (-2.01)
Over 4.5 17.17% (+1.44)
Under 4.5 82.83% (-1.45)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 88.72% (+1.05)
Under 0.5 11.28% (-1.06)
Over 1.5 64.11% (+2.25)
Under 1.5 35.89% (-2.25)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5 52.23% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 47.77% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 16.94% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 83.06% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 70.46%
Draw 18.27%
Guinea-Bissau 11.25%
Ivory Coast
2-0 @ 12.82% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.59)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 9.33% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 6.9% (+0.25)
4-0 @ 5.09% (+0.38)
4-1 @ 3.76% (+0.29)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 2.22% (+0.25)
5-1 @ 1.64% (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 70.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.69% (-0.42)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.51)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.27%
Guinea-Bissau
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.37)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 11.25%