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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgbilog.png)
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Emilio Nsue
21'
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Josete Miranda
46'
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Emilio Nsue
51'
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Emilio Nsue
61'
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Luis Nlavo
83'
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Jannick Buyla
90'+5'
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Esteban Obiang
37'
(OG)
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Jose Correia
90'+3'
Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 40.91%
0-0 @ 11.68% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.32%
1-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 29.75%