Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 18, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • goal William Troost-Ekong 55'
  • yellowcard Stanley Nwabali 90'+2'

Ivory Coast vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 14, 2024 2.00pm
Nigeria 1 - 1 Eq Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Ivory Coast 62.22% (-0.70)
Draw 21.7% (+0.28)
Nigeria 16.08% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.71% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 48.29% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 29.57% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 70.43% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 14.37% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 85.62% (+0.26)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 85.04% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 14.96% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 56.62% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 43.38% (+0.68)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 57.02% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 42.98% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 20.72% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 79.28% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 62.21%
Draw 21.69%
Nigeria 16.08%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 12.21% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 11.6% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 62.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 6.43% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.14% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.69%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 5.43% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 4.36% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.29% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 9, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • William Troost-Ekong 27' yellowcard
  • Semi Ajayi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ramy Bensebaini 6'
  • yellowcard Said Benrahma 44'
Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 3, 2013 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Cheick Tiote 0' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Emenike 0'
  • goal Sunday Mba 0'