Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.