Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.44%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.