Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 94.73%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Eritrea had a probability of 0.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.49%) and 4-0 (16.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.52%), while for a Eritrea win it was 0-1 (0.37%).