Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.45%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.