Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 17, 2024 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Mohamed V
  • Romain Saiss 30' goal
  • Romain Saiss 52' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Chibi 61' yellowcard
  • Azzedine Ounahi 77' goal
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 80' goal
  • yellowcard Himid Mao 22'
  • yellowcard Novatus Dismas 32'
  • yellowcard Charles M'Mombwa 61'
  • redcard Novatus Dismas 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Hussein 90'+6'

Morocco vs Tanzania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Tanzania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.45%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result

Morocco 65.23% (+1.27)
Draw 23.01% (-0.50)
Tanzania 11.76% (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.99% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.28% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 60.73% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 19.21% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 80.79% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 7.89% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 92.11% (-0.09)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 81.71% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 18.29% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 50.64% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 49.36% (-0.92)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5 42.83% (-1.20)
Under 0.5 57.18% (+1.21)
Over 1.5 10.86% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 89.14% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Morocco 65.23%
Draw 23.01%
Tanzania 11.76%
Morocco
1-0 @ 17.76% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 15.09% (+0.41)
3-0 @ 8.55% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.78% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.63% (+0.22)
4-1 @ 2.03% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.23% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 65.23%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.45% (-0.09)
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.01%
Tanzania
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.15)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 11.76%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 21, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Himid Mao 18' yellowcard
  • Novatus Dismas 36' yellowcard
  • Novatus Dismas 65' redcard
  • Lusajo Mwaikenda 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 13'
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 28'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 52'
  • goal Lusajo Mwaikenda 53' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 65'
  • yellowcard Hakim Ziyech 74'