Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 36.09%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Morocco in this match.