Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 75.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Vanuatu
75.44% ( -0)	16.32%	8.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 41.06% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.44% (

-0)

44.56% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07% (

-0)

66.93% (

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.89% (

-0)

10.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.71% (

-0)

33.29% (

Vanuatu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.68%

54.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.53% (

-0)

87.47% (

Score Analysis

Guinea 75.43%

Vanuatu 8.24%

Draw 16.32%

Guinea	Draw	Vanuatu
2-0 @ 14.42% 1-0 @ 12.58% 3-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.85% 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.18% 6-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 75.43%	1-1 @ 7.68% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.46% Total : 16.32%	0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 8.24%